Data quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 10:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
1-10 25.2%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
7
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleDec 12, 25, 9:54 PM UTCJan 1, 29, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolves to the number of times, as acronyms or as full words, any of the following terms are used by a candidate or moderator during the first non-primary United States Presidential Debate for the 2028 election.
- AI, AGI, ASI, LLM, ML, or the names of AI models (e.g. GPT, Sonnet)
- There can be multiple references per sentence.
- E.g. "I asked Claude to teach me how AI is different from Machine Learning" counts for 3.
