Events in Russia within a year after Russia-Ukraine war ends [add answers]
GeopoliticsOne-OffRussia / Ukraine
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastDirect commercial flights to the EU resume 58.3%Leader of 14 outcomes
Forecasters
13
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleAug 9, 25, 10:26 AM UTCJan 1, 50, 8:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
The closing date of this market will be determined as the date when Russia's war in Ukraine ends (according to Wikipedia) + 1 year.
- (If it happens to be February 29th, then the date is March 1st of the following year).
- In case it resumes some time later, the closing date will NOT change.
- Each option will be resolved to YES or NO based on whether the event occured between the day the war ends and the closing date.
- If it does happen between the two mentioned dates, it resolves YES.
- If an obviously irreversible event (e.g. someone's death) happens before the war ends, it resolves NO.
