Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 16, 2026, 3:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 15.7%
Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 days ago
StaleJun 19, 26, 3:31 PMJun 19, 27, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes16%
Volume trend
$450Jul 152d of dataJul 16
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