Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 87.9%
Forecasters
36
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJan 11, 24, 9:01 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Currently, the only company in the world which can produce those machines is the Dutch ASML.
- EUV (Extreme Ultraviolet) machines are capable of producing incredibly small transistors of 3mm-5mm form factors.
- As such, they are critical in producing modern chips.
- ASML is prohibited from exporting EUV machines to China by US trade restrictions, which has prompted China to come up woth solutions to keep them in the chip game.
- To qualify for a YES resolution, a machine:
- Must be assembled in China.