By the year 2040, will the US military integrate a bipedal humanoid robot, similar to Boston Dynamics' Atlas, into its arsenal?
GeopoliticsOne-Off14y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 73.6%
Forecasters
39
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleFeb 24, 23, 1:29 AM UTCJan 1, 41, 2:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Boston Dynamics' Atlas is a humanoid robot being developed by Boston Dynamics that is capable of performing a wide range of tasks autonomously, including navigating rough terrain and executing a variety of physical movements.
- For the purposes of this prediction market question, the following criteria will be used to determine whether the answer is yes or no:
- "Integrated into the US military" means that the robot is actively being used by the military in some capacity, whether for combat or support operations.
- "Similar to Boston Dynamics' Atlas" means that the robot shares the same general physical characteristics and capabilities as Atlas, including a bipedal form factor and advanced mobility and manipulation abilities.
- The resolution date is December 31, 2040.
- If the US military has not officially integrated a humanoid robot similar to Atlas, into its arsenal by that date, the answer will be "No." If such a robot has been integrated, the answer will be "Yes."
