Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 53.9%
Forecasters
18
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleSep 30, 25, 8:22 AM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Israel agree to the Board of Peace Gaza plan in 2026?
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PolymarketRules
Trump's 20-point plan for resolving the Israeli occupation of Gaza includes the following stage:
- 9) Gaza will be governed under the temporary transitional governance of a technocratic, apolitical Palestinian committee, responsible for delivering the day-to-day running of public services and municipalities for the people in Gaza.
- This committee will be made up of qualified Palestinians and international experts, with oversight and supervision by a new international transitional body, the “Board of Peace”, which will be headed and chaired by [US] president Donald J Trump, with other members and heads of state to be announced, including former prime minister Tony Blair.
- This body will set the framework and handle the funding for the redevelopment of Gaza until such time as the Palestinian Authority has completed its reform programme, as outlined in various proposals, including President Trump’s peace plan in 2020 and the Saudi-French proposal, and can securely and effectively take back control of Gaza.
- This body will call on best international standards to create modern and efficient governance that serves the people of Gaza and is conducive to attracting investment.
- This market resolves YES if the Board of Peace, or an entity with a different title but a fundamentally similar mission and makeup, assumes control of Gaza at any point before 1st January 2028.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for "Board of Peace" established before 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 54% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does "Board of Peace" established before 2027? resolve?
- "Board of Peace" established before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is "Board of Peace" established before 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Trump's 20-point plan for resolving the Israeli occupation of Gaza includes the following stage: