End of 2026, will Tumbles think it was good Trump unilaterally removed Maduro?
One-OffUS PoliticsLatin America2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 5:41 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 94.7%
Forecasters
30
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJan 3, 26, 10:12 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
Currently not sure.
- If I'm still unsure at the end of the year, I'll still make a judgment call and resolve YES or NO.
- Context and considerations:
- I'm a Canadian liberal type who hates Trump
- I'm a bit hawkish in general in regards to foreign policy
- Maduro seems like a pretty bad dude, Venezuelans as a people seem pretty happy
