Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95.7%
Forecasters
23
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleJan 6, 26, 10:01 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PredictItRules
To be resolved as true if the trial starts during 2026 in American soil.
- Clarification: I mean the formal star of the trial (eg the swearing of the jury for a trial with jury)
- Update 2026-07-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market will resolve based on any trial whatsoever, including trials for minor or unrelated charges.
