This market resolved: Yes (99.2%)
Resolved: Aug 20, 2026, 7:22 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastYes 99.2%
Forecasters
36
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMay 16, 26, 8:15 PMAug 20, 26, 7:22 PM
Probability Timeline
Yes99.2%
No0.7999999999999972%
99.2%
0.8%
Rules
Resolves YES if Andy Burnham is sworn in as UK Prime Minister before 11.59pm London Time on 31 October 2026.
- Resolves no otherwise.
Open markets
Europe
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 31-23.5pt25%
- October 31-30.5pt14%
- August 31-33.0pt4%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5.8M
- 24h Vol
- $1.3M
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.1pt34.7%
- Édouard Philippe27.4%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14.7%
+125 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt71.3%
- New People (NL)-0.1pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.1pt5.9%
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+0.5pt87.3%
- Ulf Kristersson+1.0pt11.8%
- Ebba Busch-0.1pt1%
+33 more outcomes
POLYMARKETNATO downs another Russian drone by which date?
- August 31+1.3pt100%
- July 31-1.4pt0%
- Total Vol
- $217.9K
- 24h Vol
- $65.7K
KALSHIWhich leaders will leave office in 2026?
- Keir Starmer100%
- Gustavo Petro100%
- Aleksandar Vučić94%
+34 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4M
- 24h Vol
- $15.6K
- Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
- Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: AfD # of seats?
- Berlin State Election Winner
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
- Serbia parliament dissolved by which date?
- Will US withdraw from NATO by which date?
- ECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Andy Burnham PM before 1 November 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 99% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Andy Burnham PM before 1 November 2026? resolve?
- Andy Burnham PM before 1 November 2026? is scheduled to resolve on August 20, 2026.
- How is Andy Burnham PM before 1 November 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if Andy Burnham is sworn in as UK Prime Minister before 11.59pm London Time on 31 October 2026.