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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

One-OffPoliticsElectionEurope2mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 45%
Market quality

49 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$24.2K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

44.0% / 45.0%

Spread

2.3%

Tight spread
7d Change

+1.0%

Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

May 12, 26, 11:53 PMSep 6, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes45%

Rules

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
  • This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
  • This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.

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Rules

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
  • This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
  • This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.