Current community forecast
Yes 41%
Forecasters
43
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 days ago
StaleApr 24, 25, 9:42 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes41%
Compare venues· No
Ordered by 24h volumeAlso available on Manifold Markets
Will the AfD win an absolute majority in the state election in Saxony-Anhalt in 2026
2mo
54%
46%
Community forecast14 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$837.6
24h Vol$119.7
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Also available on Polymarket
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
2.0%1mo
+0.0%39%
-0.0%61%
80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$146.7K
24h Vol$1.3K
POLYMARKET
Also available on Futuur
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election?
1mo
45%
55%
32 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$141.2
24h Vol$141.2
FUTUURRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.