Current implied probability
Marine Le Pen 94%+72.5%Leader of 30 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$169K
Liquidity
$126.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
93.0% / 95.0%
Spread
2.1%
Tight spread7d Change
+71.5%
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
May 1, 26, 10:38 PMApr 23, 27, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Marine Le Pen94%
Large trades
$3.2k95.7%Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election? — YesStudentMoney7h ago
$1.3k87.9%Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election? — Yesgabriellelanger13h ago
Volume trend
$169.0kJul 27d of dataJul 8
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The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
- This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
- A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
- If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
- If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list.
- If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.