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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. On what dates will Keir Starmer still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
Manifold Markets

On what dates will Keir Starmer still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?

One-OffPoliticsEurope6mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
2025-12-31 / 31st December 2025 100%
Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters

178

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

Sep 23, 25, 8:43 AMDec 31, 26, 9:30 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

2026-12-31 / 31st December 20262%

Rules

Each answer resolves YES at 00:01 on the date listed in the answer, if Keir Starmer is Prime Minister AND has been so continuously since his appointment following the 2024 election.

Manifold Markets
  • If he loses his job for any reason (including death/firing/resignation/losing an election) then all remaining answers will resolve NO.
  • Add more dates if you want more granularity.

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Rules

Each answer resolves YES at 00:01 on the date listed in the answer, if Keir Starmer is Prime Minister AND has been so continuously since his appointment following the 2024 election.

Manifold Markets
  • If he loses his job for any reason (including death/firing/resignation/losing an election) then all remaining answers will resolve NO.
  • Add more dates if you want more granularity.