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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

One-OffPolitics6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Andy Burnham
Andy Burnham 66%+0.3%
Leader of 61 outcomes
Market quality

73 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$43.4K

Liquidity

$1.2M

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

0.2% / 0.3%

Spread

50.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Feb 5, 26, 10:57 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Andy Burnham66%

Rules

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch.
  • Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
  • If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Rules

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch.
  • Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
  • If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.