Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jun 18, 2026, 12:23 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastKeiko Fujimori 98.7%Leader of 18 outcomes
Forecasters
76
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 38 days ago
StaleJul 7, 25, 6:50 AMSep 30, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Keiko Fujimori99%
Compare venues· Keiko Fujimori
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 99% | — | — | — | 38 days ago | |
 PredictIt92% match · verified | — | 99% | — | — | — | 17 days ago | Open → |
Also available on PredictIt
Who will win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Closed
99%
1%
1%
+13 more outcomes
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the candidate officially declared the winner of Peru's 2026 presidential election.
- The election is scheduled for April 12, 2026, with a potential runoff on June 7, 2026, if no candidate secures more than 50% of the vote in the first round.
- The official results will be sourced from Peru's National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) and the National Jury of Elections (JNE).
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the candidate officially declared the winner of Peru's 2026 presidential election.
- The election is scheduled for April 12, 2026, with a potential runoff on June 7, 2026, if no candidate secures more than 50% of the vote in the first round.
- The official results will be sourced from Peru's National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) and the National Jury of Elections (JNE).