Current implied probability
Bev Craig 80%+3.0%Leader of 36 outcomes
Market quality
91 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$768.4
Liquidity
$239.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
79.0% / 80.0%
Spread
1.3%
Tight spread7d Change
-10.5%
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Jun 25, 26, 6:27 PMJul 30, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Bev Craig80%
Volume trend
$768Jul 27d of dataJul 8
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The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the specified election.
- If two candidates tie for receiving the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the specified election, this market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the specified election.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).