Current community forecast
Andy Burnham 35%-3.0ptLeader of 24 outcomes
Forecasters
153
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-0.4 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 29, 24, 9:19 AM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
0.3%
0.3%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will be elected Prime Minister following the next Greek parliamentary election?
Manifold MarketsWho will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?
KalshiWho will be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will the Prime Minister of the UK be from on January 1st 2030?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Sweden
PolymarketRules
You can add new answers!
- This market will close when the election is called, as to prevent those watching live election results from abandoning their positions right before a Prime Minister is selected.
- Note: if Labour replaces the named outcome without calling a general election, this question will not resolve.
- To resolve, a general election must be held, and a prime minister subsequently appointed.
- If the UK government ceases to exist or function, or if democratic general elections cease as a practice, etc., this question will be cancelled.