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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Who will be the next British Prime Minister following a General Election?
Who will be the next British Prime Minister following a General Election?

Who will be the next British Prime Minister following a General Election?

One-OffPoliticsElectionEurope3y
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Jeremy Clarkson
Jeremy Clarkson 0.6%
Leader of 24 outcomes
Forecasters

137

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Stale
Sep 29, 24, 9:19 AMDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Jeremy Clarkson1%

Rules

You can add new answers!

Manifold Markets
  • This market will close when the election is called, as to prevent those watching live election results from abandoning their positions right before a Prime Minister is selected.
  • Note: if Labour replaces Keir Starmer without calling a general election, this question will not resolve.
  • To resolve, a general election must be held, and a prime minister subsequently appointed.
  • If the UK government ceases to exist or function, or if democratic general elections cease as a practice, etc., this question will be cancelled.

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Rules

You can add new answers!

Manifold Markets
  • This market will close when the election is called, as to prevent those watching live election results from abandoning their positions right before a Prime Minister is selected.
  • Note: if Labour replaces Keir Starmer without calling a general election, this question will not resolve.
  • To resolve, a general election must be held, and a prime minister subsequently appointed.
  • If the UK government ceases to exist or function, or if democratic general elections cease as a practice, etc., this question will be cancelled.