Current implied probability
Yes 45%
Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$141.2
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
-
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes45%
Compare venues· No
Ordered by 24h volume
Also available on Manifold Markets
Will the AfD win an absolute majority in the state election in Saxony-Anhalt in 2026
2mo
54%
46%
Community forecast14 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$837.6
24h Vol$119.7
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
AfD wins absolute majority in 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election?
5mo
41%
59%
Community forecast43 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$11K
24h Vol$83.7
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Also available on Polymarket
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
2.0%1mo
+0.0%39%
-0.0%61%
80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$146.7K
24h Vol$1.5K
POLYMARKETRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.