Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 13, 2026, 6:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Count Binface1.43%
Green Party0.01%
Reform UK98.04%
Conservative0.34%
Labour0.1%
Liberal Democrats0.1%
Restore Britain0.2%
Won
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
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Manifold MarketsRules
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