A US citizen moved and held in El Salvador against a court order for at least seven days during Trump's term?
US PoliticsOne-Off2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 81.4%
Forecasters
16
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingApr 16, 25, 7:03 AM UTCJan 19, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
moved by the government
- the seven days start when there is a court order asking the government to at least facilitate their return (i.e. wording at least as strong as that in the SCOTUS ruling concerning Abrego Garcia)
- does not need to be SCOTUS ruling, lower court is fine
- count resets when the order is stayed
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deportation_of_Kilmar_Abrego_Garcia
- Update 2025-04-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Citizenship Requirement:
