2x2: Will Labour get a majority, Will more than 200k houses be built per year, on average, in England and Wales?
PoliticsOne-OffElectionMacro & Economy1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Labour Majority, <=200k houses built per year 62.3%Leader of 4 outcomes
Labour Majority, <=200k houses built per year 62.3%Forecasters
23
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleDec 20, 23, 3:26 PM UTCDec 27, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
The housing part of this resolves to "Yes" if, during the next UK Parliament, an average of more than 200k "permanent dwellings" are built in England and Wales, per year, according to the ONS.
- There may be estimation require to figure out which parts of each year are attributed to the correct period.
- Comments will be taken into account but mods decision is final.
- The reports are currently stored here: ONS reports.
