2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate?
8.4 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection3y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastDemocratic Sweep 60.4%+8.4ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+47.9 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleOct 24, 26, 12:51 AM UTCNov 7, 29, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will democrats win the presidency, the House and the Senate in the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a fistfight or other similar physical altercation in US Congress (house or senate) before 2030?
Manifold MarketsHow many House and Senate seats will Dems control after the 2026 midterms?
PredictItWill Democrats sweep the New England House and Senate races?
KalshiIf Dems win the House or Senate in 2026, will officials try to block a working Democratic majority from being seated?
Manifold MarketsWill the same party control the U.S. House and Senate?
KalshiRules
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/power/party-power/power-28
- Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
- Kalshi's rules: If the Democratic party wins the House, the Democratic party wins the Senate, and the Democratic party wins the Presidency in the 2028 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — 2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate? · Democratic Sweep 50%
