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Data as of Sep 13, 2026, 10:31 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
At least 52% 0%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
10.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 11, 26, 2:00 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
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Rules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mike Rounds in the 2026 South Dakota Senate election is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Office of the Secretary of State, Pierre, SD
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Mike Rounds ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results.
- Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mike Rounds in the 2026 South Dakota Senate election is 54% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for South Dakota Senate election: Mike Rounds vote percent?
- Kalshi prices At least 52% at 0% as of September 13, 2026.
- When does South Dakota Senate election: Mike Rounds vote percent resolve?
- South Dakota Senate election: Mike Rounds vote percent is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2027.
- How is South Dakota Senate election: Mike Rounds vote percent settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mike Rounds in the 2026 South Dakota Senate election is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.