KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
At least 68% · —
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Stored price
At least 72% 60.5%Market line of 9 lines
At least 72% 60.5%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$171.3
Open interest
$2.4K
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
At least 68%Spread
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Market data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Sep 19, 26, 12:00 AM UTCNov 3, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · At least 68%
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent
KalshiMecklenburg County, North Carolina: Roy Cooper vote percent
KalshiQueens County, New York: Kathy Hochul vote percent
KalshiCobb County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiPolk County, Iowa: Josh Turek vote percent
KalshiAllegheny County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent
KalshiRules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Washtenaw County, Michigan is 72% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places (2). Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.
Rules for each outcome
- At least 68%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Washtenaw County, Michigan is 68% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 70%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Washtenaw County, Michigan is 70% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 72%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Washtenaw County, Michigan is 72% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 74%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Washtenaw County, Michigan is 74% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 76%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Washtenaw County, Michigan is 76% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 78%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Washtenaw County, Michigan is 78% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 80%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Washtenaw County, Michigan is 80% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 82%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Washtenaw County, Michigan is 82% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 73%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Washtenaw County, Michigan is 73% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
