KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Jess Wilson · —
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Stored price
Jess Wilson 78.5%Leader of 5 outcomes
Jess Wilson 78.5%Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$76.5
Open interest
$2.7K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Jess WilsonSpread
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Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 1, 26, 2:00 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Jess Wilson
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Next Premier of Victoria
PolymarketPremier of Victoria at the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsThe Premier of Victoria will be from which Part(ies) after the 2026 state election?
Manifold MarketsWill Jess Wilson become Premier of Victoria after the 28 November 2026 state election?
Manifold MarketsBrazil Presidential Election
PolymarketSerbia Parliamentary Election Winner
PolymarketRules
If Jess Wilson is the first person to serve as Premier of Victoria after the caretaker period for the 2026 Victorian state election ends before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The New York TimesAssociated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABC NewsCBS NewsCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC News
- This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. The qualifying person is the person serving as Premier of Victoria when the caretaker period following the 2026 Victorian state election ends. If the government changes, this is the incoming Premier sworn in by the Governor. If the incumbent government is returned, this is the Premier in office when the election result becomes clear. Service only in caretaker capacity before that point does NOT qualify. If a person not listed on this event is the first qualifying Premier, every named market resolves NO. If the caretaker period has not ended and no person has qualified before January 1, 2027, every named market resolves NO.
Rules for each outcome
- Jess Wilson
- If Jess Wilson is the first person to serve as Premier of Victoria after the caretaker period for the 2026 Victorian state election ends before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ben Carroll
- If Ben Carroll is the first person to serve as Premier of Victoria after the caretaker period for the 2026 Victorian state election ends before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Danny O'Brien
- If Danny O'Brien is the first person to serve as Premier of Victoria after the caretaker period for the 2026 Victorian state election ends before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ellen Sandell
- If Ellen Sandell is the first person to serve as Premier of Victoria after the caretaker period for the 2026 Victorian state election ends before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Warren Pickering
- If Warren Pickering is the first person to serve as Premier of Victoria after the caretaker period for the 2026 Victorian state election ends before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.