KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
20-24 50%Leader of 8 outcomes
20-24 50%Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$711.9
Open interest
$711.9
Low open interestMarket data
Updated 36 minutes ago
Oct 9, 26, 4:00 AM UTCOct 10, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)
KalshiDonald Trump # Truth Social posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?
PolymarketDonald Trump # Truth Social posts October 2 - October 9, 2026?
PolymarketDonald Trump # Truth Social posts October 6 - October 13, 2026?
PolymarketWill a court block paid early access to Trump's Truth Social posts in 2026?
KalshiCourts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by which date?
PolymarketRules
If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Oct 9, 2026 is between 20 and 24, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Roll Call
- How this is resolved The observation period begins at 12:00 AM ET on Oct 9, 2026 and ends at 11:59 PM ET on Oct 9, 2026. The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call. In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion. Payout criteria Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count. Replies are included if captured by Roll Call. "Between" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound. Doesn’t count for payout: Posts deleted as of the Expiration Time.
Rules for each outcome
- 20-24
- If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Oct 9, 2026 is between 20 and 24, then the market resolves to Yes.
- <5
- If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Oct 9, 2026 is below 5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5-9
- If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Oct 9, 2026 is between 5 and 9, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 10-14
- If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Oct 9, 2026 is between 10 and 14, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 15-19
- If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Oct 9, 2026 is between 15 and 19, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 25-29
- If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Oct 9, 2026 is between 25 and 29, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 30-39
- If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Oct 9, 2026 is between 30 and 39, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 40+
- If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Oct 9, 2026 is at least 40, then the market resolves to Yes.