KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
100-119 28.4%+15.0ptLeader of 10 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
100-119 28.4%+15.0ptMarket quality
54 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$42.6K
Open interest
$69K
High open interestMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Oct 4, 26, 2:00 PM UTCOct 11, 26, 1:59 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?
PolymarketDonald Trump # Truth Social posts October 2 - October 9, 2026?
PolymarketDonald Trump # Truth Social posts October 6 - October 13, 2026?
PolymarketWill a court block paid early access to Trump's Truth Social posts in 2026?
KalshiCourts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by which date?
PolymarketHow many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (10/3-10/9)
KalshiRules
If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from Oct 4, 2026 to Oct 10, 2026 is between 100 and 119, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Roll Call
- How this is resolved The observation period begins at 12:00 AM ET on Oct 4, 2026 and ends at 11:59 PM ET on Oct 10, 2026. The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call. In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion. Payout criteria Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count. Replies are included if captured by Roll Call. "Between" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound. Doesn’t count for payout: Posts deleted as of the Expiration Time.
Rules for each outcome
- 100-119
- If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from Oct 4, 2026 to Oct 10, 2026 is between 100 and 119, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 120-139
- If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from Oct 4, 2026 to Oct 10, 2026 is between 120 and 139, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 140-159
- If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from Oct 4, 2026 to Oct 10, 2026 is between 140 and 159, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 160-179
- If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from Oct 4, 2026 to Oct 10, 2026 is between 160 and 179, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 180-199
- If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from Oct 4, 2026 to Oct 10, 2026 is between 180 and 199, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 80-99
- If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from Oct 4, 2026 to Oct 10, 2026 is between 80 and 99, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 200-219
- If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from Oct 4, 2026 to Oct 10, 2026 is between 200 and 219, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 220-240
- If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from Oct 4, 2026 to Oct 10, 2026 is between 220 and 240, then the market resolves to Yes.
- >240
- If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from Oct 4, 2026 to Oct 10, 2026 is above 240, then the market resolves to Yes.
- <80
- If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from Oct 4, 2026 to Oct 10, 2026 is below 80, then the market resolves to Yes.