Above 36.9%
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 15, 2026, 5:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Yes · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored price
Yes 77.5%
Yes 77.5%Market quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$6.1K
Open interest
$5K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
YesSpread
—
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 9, 26, 4:34 PM UTCOct 16, 26, 1:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Yes
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026?
KalshiTrump approval rating on October 16?
PolymarketTrump approval rating at least ___ on October 16?
PolymarketTrump approval rating at least ___ on October 23?
PolymarketHow low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiHow low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:VoteHub
Rules for each outcome
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.