KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityUganda 35%Leader of 18 outcomes
Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$33.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
1.8% / 7.9%
Spread
6.1 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Jan 6, 26, 3:00 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Afghanistan6%
Volume trend
$6Jul 222d of dataJul 28
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State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Afghanistan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Advisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify.
- The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region.
- A Travel Advisory is considered "issued" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.
- State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Burma (Myanmar) after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Gaza after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.