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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Will Spain ban bullfighting before 2027?
Will Spain ban bullfighting before 2027?

Will Spain ban bullfighting before 2027?

One-OffPoliticsEurope6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 6%
Market quality

24 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$7.7

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

4.9% / 5.8%

Spread

18.4%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 7 minutes ago

Oct 17, 25, 6:00 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes6%

Rules

If Spain has agreed to or announced the enactment of a law that bans bullfighting (‘corridas de toros’) nationwide. before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves formal signing of treaties, parliamentary approval with binding effect, official ratification, formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority, official statements by authorized ministers, official press releases, formal declarations during government proceedings, or official statements to international bodies.
  • Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory qualify.
  • Preliminary discussions, conditional agreements contingent on circumstances, opposition party statements, leaked documents, think-tank recommendations, general aspirations without specific commitment, draft legislation without approval, and regional actions (unless specified) do NOT qualify.
  • Retraction of previously announced commitments also does not satisfy the criterion.

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Rules

If Spain has agreed to or announced the enactment of a law that bans bullfighting (‘corridas de toros’) nationwide. before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves formal signing of treaties, parliamentary approval with binding effect, official ratification, formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority, official statements by authorized ministers, official press releases, formal declarations during government proceedings, or official statements to international bodies.
  • Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory qualify.
  • Preliminary discussions, conditional agreements contingent on circumstances, opposition party statements, leaked documents, think-tank recommendations, general aspirations without specific commitment, draft legislation without approval, and regional actions (unless specified) do NOT qualify.
  • Retraction of previously announced commitments also does not satisfy the criterion.