South Carolina Republican Senate runoff margin of victory? (Ralph Norman)
29.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection12mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Ralph Norman, ≥2% 1%-29.0ptLeader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$118.7K
Liquidity
$113.8K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 25 minutes ago
Aug 24, 26, 5:14 AMAug 25, 27, 2:00 PM
Trends
Rules
If the margin of victory for Ralph Norman in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate runoff is at or above 2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Ralph Norman minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ralph Norman if Ralph Norman wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ralph Norman loses.
- If Ralph Norman wins, the margin will be positive; if Ralph Norman loses, the margin will be negative; if Ralph Norman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Ralph Norman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for South Carolina Republican Senate runoff margin of victory? (Ralph Norman)?
- Kalshi prices Ralph Norman, ≥2% at 1% as of August 26, 2026.
- When does South Carolina Republican Senate runoff margin of victory? (Ralph Norman) resolve?
- South Carolina Republican Senate runoff margin of victory? (Ralph Norman) is scheduled to resolve on August 25, 2027.
- How is South Carolina Republican Senate runoff margin of victory? (Ralph Norman) settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the margin of victory for Ralph Norman in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate runoff is at or above 2%, then the market resolves to Yes.