KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 92%
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$34
Liquidity
$29.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
6.0% / 8.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Nov 5, 25, 7:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
If a law authorizing a new personal income tax bracket or surcharge on incomes over $1 billion for New York City residents has become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:City of New Yorkthe Office of Mayor of New York CityNew York City Councilmajor newspapers in New York Citythe Federal RegisterThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- Laws passed by New York State are encompassed within the Payout Criterion if they apply to or govern New York City.
- Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law.
- For standard legislation requiring executive approval, this includes final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods.
- For legislation not requiring executive approval, this includes final passage and completion of required waiting periods.
- For constitutional amendments, this includes passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Mamdani tax billion-dollar incomes in 2026??
- Kalshi prices No at 92% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Mamdani tax billion-dollar incomes in 2026? resolve?
- Will Mamdani tax billion-dollar incomes in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Mamdani tax billion-dollar incomes in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If a law authorizing a new personal income tax bracket or surcharge on incomes over $1 billion for New York City residents has become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.