KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 3:04 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
No · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored price
No 94.3%
No 94.3%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$61.4
Open interest
$37.9K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleNov 5, 25, 7:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?
KalshiPolsia will be a one person, billion dollar business in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?
PolymarketWill there be a billion-dollar company with only one person by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk found another billion dollar company by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill manifold.love ever be a billion dollar business?
Manifold MarketsRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:City of New Yorkthe Office of Mayor of New York CityNew York City Councilmajor newspapers in New York Citythe Federal RegisterThe White HouseThe United States CongressThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- Laws passed by New York State are encompassed within the Payout Criterion if they apply to or govern New York City. Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. For standard legislation requiring executive approval, this includes final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods. For legislation not requiring executive approval, this includes final passage and completion of required waiting periods. For constitutional amendments, this includes passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes. For executive orders, this includes official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness. Legislative passage without completed executive action, passage by only some required bodies, provisional passage, non-binding resolutions, and draft orders do not constitute enactment. Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.