KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
0 88.3%-1.0ptLeader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$969.7
Liquidity
$6K
Medium liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Sep 1, 26, 2:00 PM UTCOct 1, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many times will Trump visit his D.C. golf club in Sep 2026?
KalshiHow many times will Donald Trump visit Trump Bedminster in Sep 2026?
KalshiWho will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026?
KalshiWill they announce a presidential library at Trump's Mar-A-Lago by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsHow many times will the Trump admin and/or NVIDIA flip-flop on giving NVIDIA chips to China before 2028? (fun)
Manifold MarketsHow many more times will Trump publicly praise Allah in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
If Trump makes exactly 0 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A single visit begins when the President arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when the President has returned to the White House.
- A visit need not end to be included – i.e. if Sep 2026 ends with the President still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count.
- If the President is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Sep 2026, that will count as a visit.
- If Trump makes exactly 1 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump makes exactly 2 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Sep 2026??
- Kalshi prices 0 at 88% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Sep 2026? resolve?
- How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Sep 2026? is scheduled to resolve on October 1, 2026.
- How is How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Sep 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Trump makes exactly 0 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.