KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before Jan 20, 2029 · —
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Stored price
Before Jan 20, 2029 79%Leader of 6 outcomes
Before Jan 20, 2029 79%Market quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$160.6
Open interest
$43.5K
High open interestBid / Ask
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Before Jan 20, 2029Spread
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Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Dec 12, 25, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Jan 20, 2029
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will any UK cabinet member leave cabinet this quarter?
Manifold MarketsAny Senate-confirmed Cabinet member impeached this Presidential term?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Cabinet member to leave office?
PredictItIf Democrats win the House in 2026, will the House impeach a Cabinet member before January 3, 2029?
Manifold MarketsIf Republicans keep the House in 2026, will the House impeach a Cabinet member before January 3, 2029?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketRules
If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. House of Representatives
- The cabinet is defined as the following: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, and White House Chief of Staff.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jan 20, 2029
- If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.