KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yes 57%+1.0pt
Market quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.5K
Liquidity
$9.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
53.0% / 56.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 25 minutes ago
May 16, 26, 9:00 PMAug 29, 27, 2:00 PM
Trends
Rules
If Yes wins the 2026 Icelandic referendum on resuming European Union membership negotiations, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Landskjörstjórn
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option must achieve the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met.
- Failure to meet turnout requirements results in No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Iceland EU Membership Negotiations Referendum?
- Kalshi prices Yes at 57% as of August 27, 2026.
- When does Iceland EU Membership Negotiations Referendum resolve?
- Iceland EU Membership Negotiations Referendum is scheduled to resolve on August 29, 2027.
- How is Iceland EU Membership Negotiations Referendum settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Yes wins the 2026 Icelandic referendum on resuming European Union membership negotiations, then the market resolves to Yes.