KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Paul Gosar · —
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Stored price
Paul Gosar 94.8%
Paul Gosar 94.8%Market quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$23.8
Open interest
$3.1K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Paul GosarSpread
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Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Jan 7, 26, 1:04 AM UTCJan 4, 27, 5:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Paul Gosar
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the House member sworn in for AZ-09 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Library of Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Rules for each outcome
- Paul Gosar
- If the House member sworn in for AZ-09 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dani Sterbinsky
- If the House member sworn in for AZ-09 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for Paul Gosar (R) is 94%. The venue spread is about 1 percentage point.
CoinRithm reference Paul Gosar (R) 94% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Polymarket — AZ-09 House Election Winner · Paul Gosar (R) 96%
