KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityPaul Gosar 93.8%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$2.7K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
5.7% / 5.8%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 27 minutes ago
Jan 7, 26, 1:04 AMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Dani Sterbinsky6%
Compare venues· Paul Gosar
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall60% match · verified | Low | 94% | — | $0 | $34.9K | 27 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis page | Low | 91% | — | $0 | $2.7K | 27 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
AZ-09 House Election Winner
3mo
95.9%
+0.3pt4.1%
0%
+5 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$12.9K
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKETRules
If the House member sworn in for AZ-09 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for AZ-09 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$36Jul 184d of dataJul 22
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If the House member sworn in for AZ-09 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for AZ-09 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.