KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityDemocratic party 14%
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$1.4K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
14.0% / 17.0%
Spread
21.4%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jan 7, 26, 1:04 AMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Democratic party14%
Compare venues· Republican party
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall60% match · verified | High | 82% | 0pt | $3.3K | $51.6K | 14 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis page | Low | 86% | +4pt | $0 | $1.4K | 5 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
AZ-05 House Election Winner
5.5%3mo
-5.5%82%
+5.0%17%
0%
+5 more outcomes
80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$20.7K
24h Vol$3.3K
POLYMARKETRules
If the House member sworn in for AZ-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for AZ-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$1Jul 62d of dataJul 7
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If the House member sworn in for AZ-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for AZ-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.