How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? (Directional)
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
At least 2 · —
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Stored price
At least 5 55.5%Market line of 8 lines
At least 5 55.5%Market quality
35 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$2.1K
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
At least 2Spread
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Market data
Updated 51 minutes ago
LaggingJul 7, 26, 5:00 PM UTCJan 2, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · At least 2
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties in 2026?
KalshiWhich States will elect opposite parties for Governor and Senate in the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Texas elect a Senator and Governor from different parties?
PredictItWill Ohio elect a Senator and Governor from different parties?
PredictItWill Iowa elect a Senator and Governor from different parties?
PredictItWill Alaska elect a Senator and Governor from different parties?
PredictItRules
If the number of states in which the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial general election and the winner of a 2026 U.S. Senate general election (including special elections) are nominees of different political parties is at least 5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a runoff is required to determine the winner of any race, the runoff result governs. Where a state uses an open, top-two or top-four ballot, a candidate is treated as the nominee of the party they are listed on the ballot as preferring. Candidates elected as independents or without a party nomination are considered a different party from any party nominee.
Rules for each outcome
- At least 2
- If the number of states in which the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial general election and the winner of a 2026 U.S. Senate general election (including special elections) are nominees of different political parties is at least 2, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1
- If the number of states in which the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial general election and the winner of a 2026 U.S. Senate general election (including special elections) are nominees of different political parties is at least 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 3
- If the number of states in which the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial general election and the winner of a 2026 U.S. Senate general election (including special elections) are nominees of different political parties is at least 3, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 4
- If the number of states in which the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial general election and the winner of a 2026 U.S. Senate general election (including special elections) are nominees of different political parties is at least 4, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5
- If the number of states in which the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial general election and the winner of a 2026 U.S. Senate general election (including special elections) are nominees of different political parties is at least 5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 6
- If the number of states in which the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial general election and the winner of a 2026 U.S. Senate general election (including special elections) are nominees of different political parties is at least 6, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 7
- If the number of states in which the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial general election and the winner of a 2026 U.S. Senate general election (including special elections) are nominees of different political parties is at least 7, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 8
- If the number of states in which the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial general election and the winner of a 2026 U.S. Senate general election (including special elections) are nominees of different political parties is at least 8, then the market resolves to Yes.
