KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAbove $21.0 trillion 99%Leader of 16 outcomes
Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$6.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 99.0%
Spread
98.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Feb 5, 26, 3:00 PMApr 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Above $19.2 trillion94%
Volume trend
$57Jul 135d of dataJul 25
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
US Nominal GDP in 2026
$0Above $29.0 trillion: 99%KALSHI
KALSHIJapan Nominal GDP in 2026
$0Above $4.0 trillion: 98%KALSHI
KALSHIUK Nominal GDP in 2026
$0Above $3.4 trillion: 95%KALSHI
KALSHIRussia Nominal GDP in 2026
$0Above $2.2 trillion: 99%KALSHI
KALSHIMexico Nominal GDP in 2026
$0Above $1.6 trillion: 99%KALSHI
KALSHIIndia Nominal GDP in 2026
$0Above $4.0 trillion: 81%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
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If China Nominal GDP is above $19.2 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market resolves after the first release of Q4 2026 China Nominal GDP data.
- This data refers to the calendar year of 2026, not the fiscal year.
- If China Nominal GDP is above $19.4 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If China Nominal GDP is above $19.6 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If China Nominal GDP is above $19.8 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.