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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Economy
  3. China Nominal GDP in 2026
China Nominal GDP in 2026

China Nominal GDP in 2026

4.0% (24h)EconomyOne-OffChina9mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Above $22.2 trillion
Above $22.2 trillion 10%-4.0%
Leader of 16 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$68.8

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

2.0% / 10.0%

Spread

400.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

Feb 5, 26, 3:00 PMApr 1, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Above $22.2 trillion10%

Rules

If China Nominal GDP is above $19.2 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market resolves after the first release of Q4 2026 China Nominal GDP data.
  • This data refers to the calendar year of 2026, not the fiscal year.
  • If China Nominal GDP is above $19.4 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If China Nominal GDP is above $19.6 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If China Nominal GDP is above $19.8 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,827.37+2.68%EthereumETH$1,654.71+2.20%SolanaSOL$65.31+3.12%

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Active in these topics

DogecoinDOGE$0.085+2.04%XRPXRP$1.12+0.78%BNBBNB$598.69+2.59%CardanoADA$0.1657+3.88%HyperliquidHYPE$55.86+0.70%LitecoinLTC$42.51+0.97%

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Rules

If China Nominal GDP is above $19.2 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market resolves after the first release of Q4 2026 China Nominal GDP data.
  • This data refers to the calendar year of 2026, not the fiscal year.
  • If China Nominal GDP is above $19.4 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If China Nominal GDP is above $19.6 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If China Nominal GDP is above $19.8 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.