KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
New Zealand 98%+4.0pt
Market quality
79 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$21.4K
Liquidity
$20.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Aug 27, 26, 12:38 AMSep 1, 26, 6:00 AM
Trends
Rules
If the named outcome wins the Syria vs the named outcome men's professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game originally scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 at 2:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result.
- If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Syria wins the Syria vs the named outcome men's professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game originally scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 at 2:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Middle East
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by which date?
- August 31-0.1pt0%
- August 150%
- Total Vol
- $24.9M
- 24h Vol
- $489.7K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-5.7pt63%
- October 31-3.0pt41%
- September 30-1.0pt23%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-1.0pt17%
- October 31+0.5pt11%
- September 30-1.0pt5%
+9 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22100%
- August 25100%
- August 31+2.1pt99%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 316%
- September 302%
- July 310%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $71.9M
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+1.3pt97%
- Yes-1.3pt3%
- Total Vol
- $6.8M
- 24h Vol
- $74.6K
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- Iran leadership change by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Syria vs New Zealand?
- Kalshi prices New Zealand at 98% as of August 30, 2026.
- When does Syria vs New Zealand resolve?
- Syria vs New Zealand is scheduled to resolve on September 1, 2026.
- How is Syria vs New Zealand settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome wins the Syria vs the named outcome men's professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game originally scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 at 2:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.