Current implied probability
Hungary 3%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$933.3
Low liquidityBid / Ask
1.7% / 2.0%
Spread
0.3 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 26 minutes ago
Feb 26, 25, 3:00 PMJan 1, 30, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Italy1%
Volume trend
$0.00Jul 34d of dataJul 24
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If Italy holds a national referendum on leaving the European Union before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If France holds a national referendum on leaving the European Union before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Hungary holds a national referendum on leaving the European Union before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Greece holds a national referendum on leaving the European Union before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.