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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU?
What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU?

What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU?

YearlyPoliticsEurope3y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Italy
Italy 1%
Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality

24 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$10.6

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

1.7% / 2.0%

Spread

17.6%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Feb 26, 25, 3:00 PMJan 1, 30, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Italy1%

Rules

If Italy holds a national referendum on leaving the European Union before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If France holds a national referendum on leaving the European Union before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Hungary holds a national referendum on leaving the European Union before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Greece holds a national referendum on leaving the European Union before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

If Italy holds a national referendum on leaving the European Union before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If France holds a national referendum on leaving the European Union before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Hungary holds a national referendum on leaving the European Union before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Greece holds a national referendum on leaving the European Union before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.