KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityYes 9%
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$19.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
9.0% / 12.0%
Spread
33.3%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Mar 11, 26, 8:00 PMOct 20, 26, 12:29 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes9%
Volume trend
$7Jul 312d of dataJul 21
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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If the U.S. federal budget deficit as a percentage of GDP for fiscal year 2026, as reported in the U.S.
- Treasury / Office of Management and Budget Joint Statement on Budget Results for Fiscal Year 2026, is below 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.