KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 3 (95%)
Resolved: Sep 1, 2026, 1:50 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
3
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
95%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 1, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
395%
23%
01%
3Won
4Lost
2Lost
0Lost
1Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If Donald Trump makes exactly 0 trips to Trump National Golf Club Washington, D.C. in Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:releases and public statements of White HouseFox NewsBBCThe InformationMSNBCSemaforBloomberg NewsThe Wall Street JournalABCReutersThe GuardianAxiosCNNthe White HouseThe New York TimesNBCPoliticoThe Washington Postthe Associated PressCBS
- A single visit begins when Donald Trump arrives in Trump National Golf Club Washington, D.C. and ends when Donald Trump has left Trump National Golf Club Washington, D.C..
- A visit need not end to be included — i.e., if Aug 2026 ends with Donald Trump still there, that visit counts for the purposes of 0.
- If Donald Trump is in Trump National Golf Club Washington, D.C. at the beginning of Aug 2026, that will count as a visit.
- Multiple separate visits during Aug 2026 count individually.
- If Donald Trump makes exactly 1 trips to Trump National Golf Club Washington, D.C. in Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
