KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 3:10 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Rob Bonta · —
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Stored price
Rob Bonta 96.5%
Rob Bonta 96.5%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.1K
Open interest
$7.3K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Rob BontaSpread
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Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleSep 5, 26, 2:30 AM UTCFeb 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Rob Bonta
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will "What OpenAI Told California's Attorney General" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsNew York Attorney General winner?
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KalshiMinnesota Attorney General winner?
KalshiFlorida Attorney General winner?
KalshiOklahoma Attorney General winner?
Manifold MarketsRules
If Rob Bonta wins the 2026 California Attorney General election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:California Secretary of State
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after designated media sources reach a consensus on the winner.
Rules for each outcome
- Rob Bonta
- If Rob Bonta wins the 2026 California Attorney General election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Michael E. Gates
- If Michael E. Gates wins the 2026 California Attorney General election, then the market resolves to Yes.
