KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 10, 2026, 10:17 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
At least 1,900,000 · —
Loading selected book…
Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored price
At least 2,400,000 Stored bid–ask50%–51%Collected: Prices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Market line of 12 lines
At least 2,400,000 Stored bid–ask50%–51%Collected: Prices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
—
Open interest unknownBid / Ask
— / —
At least 1,900,000Spread
—
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Oct 9, 26, 9:00 PM UTCOct 25, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · At least 1,900,000
Loading selected book…
Book received (not venue quote time): —
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Bulgarian presidential election winner?
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PolymarketRules
If at least 2,400,000 valid and invalid ballots, in combination are cast in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Central Election Commission of Bulgaria
- The count is the total of valid votes (including “I do not support anyone” votes) and invalid ballots in the first round of Bulgaria’s 2026 presidential election, as published by the Central Election Commission (CIK), including sections abroad. Registered voters, voter-list signatures and the second round do not count. Subject to the contract’s Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution Upon Designated Media Source Declarations provisions, the vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Outside those two contract provisions, preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify.
Rules for each outcome
- At least 1,900,000
- If at least 1,900,000 valid and invalid ballots, in combination are cast in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2,000,000
- If at least 2,000,000 valid and invalid ballots, in combination are cast in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2,100,000
- If at least 2,100,000 valid and invalid ballots, in combination are cast in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2,200,000
- If at least 2,200,000 valid and invalid ballots, in combination are cast in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2,300,000
- If at least 2,300,000 valid and invalid ballots, in combination are cast in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2,400,000
- If at least 2,400,000 valid and invalid ballots, in combination are cast in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2,500,000
- If at least 2,500,000 valid and invalid ballots, in combination are cast in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2,600,000
- If at least 2,600,000 valid and invalid ballots, in combination are cast in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2,700,000
- If at least 2,700,000 valid and invalid ballots, in combination are cast in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2,800,000
- If at least 2,800,000 valid and invalid ballots, in combination are cast in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2,900,000
- If at least 2,900,000 valid and invalid ballots, in combination are cast in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 3,000,000
- If at least 3,000,000 valid and invalid ballots, in combination are cast in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
