KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityJoseph Chaplik 13%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.1K
Liquidity
$21.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
16.0% / 17.0%
Spread
6.3%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Oct 9, 25, 2:00 PMNov 3, 26, 3:00 PM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Joseph Chaplik13%
Also available on Polymarket
AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner
2.9%17d
+1.0%84%
-2.9%14%
0%
+21 more outcomes
56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$432.1K
24h Vol$116.9
POLYMARKETRules
If Matt Gress wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 AZ-1 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Jason Duey wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 AZ-1 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Joseph Chaplik wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 AZ-1 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Gina Swoboda wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 AZ-1 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Michelle Ugenti-Rita wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 AZ-1 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Todd Graham wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 AZ-1 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If Matt Gress wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 AZ-1 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Jason Duey wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 AZ-1 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Joseph Chaplik wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 AZ-1 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Gina Swoboda wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 AZ-1 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Michelle Ugenti-Rita wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 AZ-1 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Todd Graham wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 AZ-1 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.