KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
37.6 to 37.8 49.1%+50.0ptLeader of 8 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
37.6 to 37.8 49.1%+50.0ptMarket quality
76 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$68.4K
Open interest
$45.7K
High open interestSpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Oct 2, 26, 4:34 PM UTCOct 9, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- No
- Settlement timer:
- 1h (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If the President's approval rating is between 37.6 and 37.8% at 11:00 AM ET on October 09, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:RealClearPolitics
- The market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on October 09, 2026.
Rules for each outcome
- 37.6 to 37.8
- If the President's approval rating is between 37.6 and 37.8% at 11:00 AM ET on October 09, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 37.6
- If the President's approval rating is below 37.6% at 11:00 AM ET on October 09, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 37.9 to 38.1
- If the President's approval rating is between 37.9 and 38.1% at 11:00 AM ET on October 09, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.5 to 38.7
- If the President's approval rating is between 38.5 and 38.7% at 11:00 AM ET on October 09, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.2 to 38.4
- If the President's approval rating is between 38.2 and 38.4% at 11:00 AM ET on October 09, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.8 to 39.0
- If the President's approval rating is between 38.8 and 39.0% at 11:00 AM ET on October 09, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 39.3
- If the President's approval rating is above 39.3% at 11:00 AM ET on October 09, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 39.1 to 39.3
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.1 and 39.3% at 11:00 AM ET on October 09, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.