KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yes 53%
Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
6.5% / 12.0%
Spread
5.5 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jan 6, 26, 7:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
If legislation that channels government funds directly into HSAs and/or FSAs has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Library of Congress
- The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
- For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
- Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No. Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
- Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.
- The market resolves based on the first occurrence of the specified milestone.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will a bill that directly funds HSAs/FSAs become law??
- Kalshi prices Yes at 53% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will a bill that directly funds HSAs/FSAs become law? resolve?
- Will a bill that directly funds HSAs/FSAs become law? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will a bill that directly funds HSAs/FSAs become law? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If legislation that channels government funds directly into HSAs and/or FSAs has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.