By what date will the 21st Century Road to Housing Act become law?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection5moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 11, 2026, 2:59 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastJune 30 1.1%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleJun 24, 26, 4:40 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
June 301%
Compare venues· December 31
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 98% | — | — | — | yesterday |
Also available on Kalshi
Will the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act become law?
2d
99%
100%
99%
+4 more outcomes
91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$557K
24h Vol$2.2K
KALSHIRules
This market resolves based on the official date that the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act is enacted into law.
- Under U.S. constitutional law, the bill will be considered enacted when:
- The President signs the bill.
- The President fails to sign or veto the bill within 10 days (excluding Sundays) of presentation while Congress is in session, causing it to automatically become law.
- Congress successfully overrides a Presidential veto.
- Each date option (e.g., "June 30", "July 4", "July 15", "July 31", "December 31st") will resolve to YES if the bill officially becomes law on or before 11:59 PM ET on that specified date in 2026.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$2.5kJul 102d of dataJul 11
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This market resolves based on the official date that the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act is enacted into law.
- Under U.S. constitutional law, the bill will be considered enacted when:
- The President signs the bill.
- The President fails to sign or veto the bill within 10 days (excluding Sundays) of presentation while Congress is in session, causing it to automatically become law.
- Congress successfully overrides a Presidential veto.
- Each date option (e.g., "June 30", "July 4", "July 15", "July 31", "December 31st") will resolve to YES if the bill officially becomes law on or before 11:59 PM ET on that specified date in 2026.