GeminiKYC requiredVerified resolution dataData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Aug 21, 2026, 6:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Bill Hagerty 97%
Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
95.0% / 99.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Jun 16, 26, 10:55 PMNov 10, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Rules
Who will win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Tennessee?
- If the named outcome wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Tennessee, then this market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources.
- This event is mutually exclusive within the Tennessee Senate election.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
Prediction Source Comparison
CoinRithm reference Bill Hagerty 98% · 2 venues · 1 pt band
- Also available on Polymarket — Tennessee Senate Election Winner · Republican 97%
- Also available on Smarkets — Tennessee Senate Election Winner · Republican 97%
- Also available on Kalshi — Tennessee Senate winner? · Bill Hagerty 96%
Open markets
Politics
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-8.0pt64.2%
- Ralph Norman+7.0pt27.5%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $13.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.3pt34.7%
- Édouard Philippe27.4%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14.7%
+125 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.5%
- Gavin Newsom+2.0pt15.5%
+44 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $187.1M
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva63.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.2pt32.7%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt4%
+29 more outcomes
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt12%
+125 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $690.6M
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.0pt85.7%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.3%
- Total Vol
- $23.7M
- 24h Vol
- $585.9K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Tennessee US Senate Winner?
- Gemini prices Bill Hagerty at 97% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Tennessee US Senate Winner resolve?
- Tennessee US Senate Winner is scheduled to resolve on November 10, 2026.
- How is Tennessee US Senate Winner settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: Who will win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Tennessee?
- Where else is Tennessee US Senate Winner listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket, Smarkets, Kalshi.